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U.S. Colleges Are About to See a Big Decline in Applicants

nymag.com

Date posted: February 13, 2026 at 12:23pm

A lot of what you thought you knew about higher education is going to change, writes Jeffrey Selingo in a feature excerpt from his new book.

Expanded Summary

In a thought-provoking feature excerpt from Jeffrey Selingo's new book, the landscape of higher education in the U.S. is poised for a significant transformation as colleges brace for a notable decline in applicants. Selingo delves into the factors contributing to this shift, including changing demographics, rising tuition costs, and the evolving perceptions of the value of a college degree. As more students reconsider their educational paths, institutions must adapt to remain relevant and appealing to prospective students. This article highlights the critical changes on the horizon and the implications they hold for students, parents, and educational institutions alike.

What you’ll learn

Understand the key factors driving the decline in college applicants across the U.S.

Explore how shifting demographics are influencing higher education enrollment trends.

Learn about the implications for colleges and universities as they adapt to this new reality.

Why this matters

The anticipated decline in college applicants is a crucial issue that affects not only educational institutions but also the future workforce and economic landscape. As colleges struggle to attract students, there may be broader implications for funding, program offerings, and the overall quality of education. Understanding these changes is vital for students, educators, and policymakers to navigate the evolving world of higher education effectively.

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